It's the last week of the regular season and below is a concise breakdown of who's playing for what--
Ohio State--as mentioned in the post immediately below, the Buckeyes are in absolute command of this race. Wednesday night they visit Northwestern. If they come out with a win, Sunday's home finale against Purdue will be a day-long coronation party for Thad Matta's team.
Illinois/Iowa/Wisconsin--all three of these teams are comfortably in the NCAA and at one game back, are hoping for an Ohio State slip. Iowa's schedule is the most favorable, with home games against Penn State & Wisconsin. The Illini go on the road against Minnesota and again this weekend at Michigan State. Wisconsin has a Thursday night visit to East Lansing, along with the aforementioned game at Iowa City. Given that any of these three teams need to win out to have a shot at even a piece of the title--and given the difficulty everyone's had on the road--it looks like Iowa's the one with a realistic shot.
Michigan/Michigan State--both are probably in the NCAA no matter what, but one more win would help their fans breathe a bit easier on Selection Sunday. The Wolverines (18-8, 8-7) host Indiana on Saturday. The Spartans (19-9, 7-7) host Wisconsin and Illinois.
Indiana--This is the team all eyes are on, the one school whose NCAA possibilites are genuinely on the bubble. The Hoosiers are 15-10, and a non-conference schedule that included Duke and UConn will help. This past weekend, they kept themselves alive with an emotional win over Michigan State in Mike Davis' last game at Assembly Hall. This week they play at Purdue on Wednesday, before the weekend date in Ann Arbor. Including the conference tournament, this team probably needs to win two more games.
Penn State/Minnesota/Northwestern--barring winning the Big Ten tournament, this trio is out of the NCAA, but in command for an NIT bid. The Gophers are 14-11, and need only avoid a three-game sweep of this week, plus the first round of the conference tourney. Their game against Illinois is the ESPN telecast this Tuesday (6 CST), and they go to Northwestern on Saturday.
Penn State is 14-12 and needs one more win. They only play once this week, at Iowa. So the conference tournament is probably going to be big for this program. Northwestern is at 13-13 and needs two more wins, including the tourney. They host Ohio State and Minnesota, so getting a split to stay alive is possible.
Purdue--ironic that the one school with nothing left to play for is positioned to be the league's spoiler. Nothing could sweeten Matt Painter's first season more then to wreck Indiana's dreams when the Hoosiers visit. And they will be the last team standing between Ohio State and a championship on Sunday.